Red Alert Report - Week 17 NFL Predictions - MAC's NFL Best Bet + Super Bowl Picks & Easy Money Bowl Action (Penn State vs Arkansas) + Props & Parlays
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Red Alert Report - Week 17 NFL Predictions - MAC's NFL Best Bet + Super Bowl Picks & Easy Money Bowl Action + Props & Parlays
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RedAlertWagers.com Week 17 NFL Predictions
Jacksonville at New England - New England -16
Philadelphia at Washington - Washington +3
Tampa Bay at N.Y. Jets - Under 45.5
Miami at Tennessee - Tennessee -3.5
Las Vegas at Indianapolis - Under 44.5
Kansas City at Cincinnati - Cincinnati +5
N.Y. Giants at Chicago - Chicago -6
Atlanta at Buffalo - Over 44
L.A. Rams at Baltimore - Baltimore +4.5
Houston at San Francisco - Under 44
Denver at L.A. Chargers - L.A. Chargers -6.5
Carolina at New Orleans - Over 38
Arizona at Dallas - Dallas -6
Detroit at Seattle - Detroit +7
Minnesota at Green Bay - Green Bay -7
Cleveland at Pittsburgh - Under 41
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RedAlertWagers.com College Bowl Game Predictions
Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl: Washington State vs Miami - Washington State +2.5
Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl: Central Michigan vs Boise State - Boise State -8
Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic: (4) Cincinnati vs (1) Alabama - Alabama -13.5
Capital One Orange Bowl: (3) Georgia vs (2) Michigan - Over 44.5
Outback Bowl: (23) Penn State vs (21) Arkansas - Penn State -2
Vrbo Citrus Bowl: (15) Iowa vs (22) Kentucky - Iowa +2.5
PlayStation Fiesta Bowl: (9) Oklahoma State vs (5) Notre Dame - Under 45.5
Rose Bowl Game Pres. by Capital One Venture X: (11) Utah vs (6) Ohio State - Ohio State -6.5
Allstate Sugar Bowl: (7) Baylor vs (8) Mississippi - Baylor -1.5
TaxAct Texas Bowl: Louisiana State vs Kansas State - Over 47
MAC's NFL Best Bet
1:00 PM ET - N.Y. Giants at Chicago
A Battle Of The Bums - Jake Fromm (A city that smells like rancid milk) vs The Chicago (Whos our QB) Bears!
This is going to be a game of defense (or 2 lousy offensives) and the sharp money is coming in heavy on the Bears -6. The public laying money on the Giants are saying - Where is this guy Fromm? - He signed off the Buffalo Bills' practice squad on the heels of the Jones injury, made his first NFL start last week. He went 6-for-17 for 25 yards and an interception before being relieved by Glennon, who closed out the 34-10 loss at Philadelphia by going 17-for-27 for 93 yards with one touchdown and an interception. In other words he is not a smart bet. New York was outscored 31-0 in the second half against Philadelphia before the Giants scored in the last four minutes, but that does not matter when its their fifth successive losing season and eighth in the past nine. Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog, they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The Giants D is garbage (like the city they represent) and riddled with injuries, not that they would be any good if they weren’t & Chicago has just enough in the tank with Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith to get them to the finish line. Both teams have nothing to play for and oddsmakers have the Bears at -6 knowing that Matt Nagy is on the hot seat in Chicago, but he has been there at the end of the last two seasons. Just when people think the Bears are ready to make a change, they reel off two or three straight wins.
New York 10 - Chicago 27
Super Bowl Odds Before the Final Two Weeks of the Regular Season
Courtesy of MyBookie
The final two weeks of the NFL Regular Season is upon us. Heading into Week 17, The Kansas City Chiefs, Green Bay Packers, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the top plays to win Super Bowl 56. The Rams, Bills, and Cowboys are the second Big 3. Check out updated Super Bowl odds as well as an odds analysis for the final two week of the regular season.
Super Bowl LVI
When: Sunday, Feb. 13, 2022
Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TV / Streaming: NBC
Super Bowl LVI Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +330
Los Angeles Rams +750
Dallas Cowboys +890
New England Patriots +1300
Indianapolis Colts +1600
Tennessee Titans +1625
Arizona Cardinals +1850
Cincinnati Bengals +2500
San Francisco 49ers +3400
Baltimore Ravens +4500
Los Angeles Chargers +4600
Philadelphia Eagles +9500
Miami Dolphins +9500
Cleveland Browns +9500
Las Vegas Raiders +12000
Minnesota Vikings +12000
Pittsburgh Steelers +16000
New Orleans Saints +19000
Denver Broncos +36000
Atlanta Falcons +46000
Washington Football Team +70000
Chiefs, Packers, Rams, Bills and Buccaneers offer underlay odds
Kansas City, Green Bay, the Los Angeles Rams, the Bills, and the Buccaneers all won their NFL Week 16 games in impressive fashion. But although every one of those teams looked like Super Bowl winners, none of the quartet is worth backing at the odds.
The Chiefs dominated a Steelers’ team that Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin has kept together with duct tape and Gorilla Glue. The Steelers remain a playoff possibility only because of Tomlin.
The Bucs beat the worst team in the league right now, the Carolina Panthers. Minnesota bombed at home against the Rams, and Green Bay barely hung on to beat the Browns even though they picked off Baker Mayfield 4 times.
Those four favorites looked good versus inferior teams. The other favorite, the Buffalo Bills, beat a solid New England Patriots’ squad. But unless something changes in the next couple of weeks, Buffalo will have a home game and then must travel.
Also, the home game could be against the 6-seed New England Patriots. In a third battle, it will be tough for the Bills to beat Belichick and the Pats.
Among the teams that have yet to qualify, the Miami Dolphins at +9500 looks best
The Miami Dolphins are a real football team. Yes, on Monday night, the Fins got to beat up a New Orleans Saints squad that had to start fourth-round pick Ian Book and was missing their starting tackles.
But the victory over New Orleans, Miami’s seventh in a row, impressed. If you’re looking for an underdog that has yet to qualify for the playoffs, take a look at the Dolphins.
Offensive coordinator George Godsey is as creative as it gets, Tua has become a reliable passer, and wide receiver Jaylen Waddle is unstoppable. Waddle routinely beat Saints’ Pro Bowl corner Marcus Lattimore.
If they make the playoffs, Miami could upset some teams because they’ve got a solid offense and will boast one of the best defenses in the postseason.
Zona isn’t worth a look while the Cincinnati Bengals are the top overlay bet on the board
Miami is a good bet if you want to take a huge swing. But if you want to back a top underdog overlay that almost certainly will make the playoffs, the Bengals are the play.
Before getting to Cincinnati, let’s put a fork into the Arizona Cardinals. The Cards are done. Forget Zona. Sure, the Cardinals have made the playoffs, but if they couldn’t beat the Indianapolis Colts missing all five starting offensive lineman and their best defensive player in Darius Leonard, what chance do they have of beating the Cowboys, Packers, or Buccaneers?
Yep, zero. Instead of even thinking about the Cardinals, overlay players should consider putting a few dollars behind Cincinnati.
Joe Burrow gets better week-to-week. His rapport with his receivers was already decent. But in the smashing 41-21 win over the Baltimore Ravens, it became great.
Burrow passed for 525 yards and 4 TDs. Ja’Marr Chase caught 7 passes for 125 yards. Tee Higgins caught 12 passes for 194 yards and 2 TDs. Tyler Boyd caught 3 passes for 85 yards and a TD and Joe Mixon caught 6 passes for 70 yards and a touchdown.
Even C.J. Umozah caught 5 passes. Burrow spreads the ball around Drew Brees-like, which means Cincinnati’s offense could be approaching the impossible to stop status.
Cowboys, Patriots, and Colts become top favorites to back
The Dallas Cowboys should be the favorite to win Super Bowl 56. Dallas’ front seven has become one of the best in football while Dak Prescott and the offense are surging. The Boys could have scored 70 in the 56-14 victory against the Washington Football Team.
The New England Patriots’ defense failed to contain Josh Allen, which is the reason the Pats lost 33-21 to the Bills. Expect Belichick to make the necessary adjustments. So at the odds, New England is a top play.
The other team to back are the Indianapolis Colts. Once again, Indianapolis showed why they’re a contender to win the Super Bowl. The offensive line should be fine after clearing COVID protocols.
If Indianapolis can beat the Raiders and Jaguars, and if the Titans lose their next two games, the Colts could host a playoff game.
But even if they don’t, Indianapolis’ ability to rush the football takes pressure off Carson Wentz and allows the Colts’ ball-hawking defense to remain fresh. Because of the overlay odds, the Colts are the best team among the top eight choices to back.
Easy Money Bowl Action
Penn State vs Arkansas
When: Saturday, Jan. 1 at 12:00 pm ET
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
TV / Streaming: ESPN 2/ ESPN+
ATS Odds: Arkansas -2
Moneyline Odds: Penn State -135 / Arkansas +115
Over/Under Odds: 48
Penn State lost to Michigan, Michigan State, and Ohio State, but the Nittany Lions played well in all three. The Wolverines beat the Lions 21-17. Penn State hung with the Buckeyes 33-24 and the Nittany Lions lost to Michigan State by just 3, 30-27. Penn State is capable of beating a good SEC team. Arkansas surprised everyone by going 8-4 and finishing fourth in the SEC. The Razorbacks played well in every game save for an early season loss to Georgia. Arkansas’ offense averages 217.8 rushing yards per game. When the Hogs get their running game going, they can play with any team in the nation.
Penn State Offensive Stats
Total Yards: 380.8
Passing Yards: 274.4
Rushing Yards: 106.3
Points Scored: 26.3
Penn State Defensive Stats
Total Yards: 343.9
Passing Yards: 208.3
Rushing Yards: 135.6
Points Scored: 16.8
Razorbacks Offensive Stats
Total Yards: 441.3
Passing Yards: 223.6
Rushing Yards: 217.8
Points Scored: 31.5
Razorbacks Defensive Stats
Total Yards: 371.3
Passing Yards: 215.1
Rushing Yards: 156.3
Points Scored: 24.0
Razorbacks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Razorbacks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
Razorbacks are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games overall.
Penn State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus the SEC
Penn State are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. SEC.
Penn State are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.
Penn State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in January.
Over is 4-1 in Razorbacks last 5 non-conference games.
Over is 4-1 in Razorbacks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Nittany Lions last 4 bowl games.
Outback Bowl Breakdown
The Nittany Lions allow over 135 rushing yards per game. That will be their undoing in this. Arkansas rushed for 110 versus Alabama’s defense. The Crimson Tide allows an average of 84.1 rushing yards per game. The fact the Hogs rushed for over 100, and easily covered by losing by just 7, tells us almost everything we must know about this game.
The Razorbacks finished their season winning 4-of-5 while Penn State struggled to a 2-3 finish in their last 5. To make matters worse for the Nittany Lions, defenders Ellis Brooks, Brandon Smith, and Jaquan Brisker won’t play in this. Brisker is a safety and Brooks and Smith are linebackers, which means the Nittany Lions will be missing 3 of their best run stuffers. If the Lions commit to stopping the run, Arkansas quarterback K.J. Jefferson is good enough to beat Penn State’s secondary.
MAC’s Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks -2.5
RedAlertWagers.com Consensus Pick: Over 48
MAC's Free Props & Parlays -
NFL - Parlays
Baltimore +4.5 X Cincinnati +5
Las Vegas at Indianapolis Under 44.5 X New England -16
NFL - Props
1h New England Patriots -8.5
01/01 - 04:00 PM Iago Kiladze +1100
01/01 - 07:00 PM Carlos Negron +1000
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